Research

Ideas are sourced, researched, formally pitched, voted on by the group, and tracked in the paper portfolio.

Research Standards

Every pitch must cover the following components before it is scheduled for presentation.

The Thesis

Business overviewIndustry contextVariant perception

We start by understanding the business, how it makes money, and where it sits in its industry. From there, we build a specific view on what the market is getting wrong and why.

The Analysis

Key drivers and risksFinancial modelBase, bull, and bear casesValuation and price target

We identify the two or three metrics that actually drive the business, then build our own financial model from the ground up with base, bull, and bear cases. Valuation work includes a DCF and comparable company analysis, and every pitch ends with a price target we can defend.

The Path

Catalysts and timelineRisks and mitigants

A good idea needs a reason to work and a timeline for when it does. We identify specific catalysts that could close the gap, and we take the bear case seriously as part of the work.